H1 FORECAST MODEL
'New Mexico' 2010-2016 ED Data

The AUTOREG Procedure

Dependent Variable TCC_PRE


H1 FORECAST MODEL
'New Mexico' 2010-2016 ED Data

The AUTOREG Procedure

Ordinary Least Squares Estimates
SSE 19840.689 DFE 61
MSE 325.25720 Root MSE 18.03489
SBC 549.470914 AIC 545.184644
MAE 15.0240922 AICC 545.384644
MAPE 3.40945714 HQC 546.870455
Durbin-Watson 0.0643 Regress R-Square 0.0687
    Total R-Square 0.0687

Parameter Estimates
Variable DF Estimate Standard
Error		 t Value Approx
Pr > |t|
Intercept 1 449.2448 5.2639 85.34 <.0001
TIME 1 -0.2651 0.1250 -2.12 0.0379


H1 FORECAST MODEL
'New Mexico' 2010-2016 ED Data

The AUTOREG Procedure

Fit Diagnostics for TCC_PRE


H2 FORECAST MODEL
'New Mexico' 2010-2016 ED Data

The AUTOREG Procedure

Dependent Variable TCC_PRE


H2 FORECAST MODEL
'New Mexico' 2010-2016 ED Data

The AUTOREG Procedure

Ordinary Least Squares Estimates
SSE 431.702991 DFE 61
MSE 7.07710 Root MSE 2.66028
SBC 308.32252 AIC 304.036251
MAE 2.03700838 AICC 304.236251
MAPE 4.52573164 HQC 305.722061
Durbin-Watson 0.0904 Regress R-Square 0.0079
    Total R-Square 0.0079

Parameter Estimates
Variable DF Estimate Standard
Error		 t Value Approx
Pr > |t|
Intercept 1 43.7566 0.7765 56.35 <.0001
TIME 1 0.0129 0.0184 0.70 0.4879


H2 FORECAST MODEL
'New Mexico' 2010-2016 ED Data

The AUTOREG Procedure

Fit Diagnostics for TCC_PRE


H3 FORECAST MODEL
'New Mexico' 2010-2016 ED Data

The AUTOREG Procedure

Dependent Variable TCC_PRE


H3 FORECAST MODEL
'New Mexico' 2010-2016 ED Data

The AUTOREG Procedure

Ordinary Least Squares Estimates
SSE 180.231122 DFE 61
MSE 2.95461 Root MSE 1.71890
SBC 253.292159 AIC 249.00589
MAE 1.41670076 AICC 249.20589
MAPE 3.63165739 HQC 250.691701
Durbin-Watson 0.1411 Regress R-Square 0.8851
    Total R-Square 0.8851

Parameter Estimates
Variable DF Estimate Standard
Error		 t Value Approx
Pr > |t|
Intercept 1 30.2054 0.5017 60.21 <.0001
TIME 1 0.2581 0.0119 21.67 <.0001


H3 FORECAST MODEL
'New Mexico' 2010-2016 ED Data

The AUTOREG Procedure

Fit Diagnostics for TCC_PRE


The SGPlot Procedure


The SGPlot Procedure


The SGPlot Procedure