H1 INTERRUPTED TIME SERIES MODEL
'New Mexico' 2010-2016 ED Data

The AUTOREG Procedure

Dependent Variable TCC
  Trend-Cycle Component


H1 INTERRUPTED TIME SERIES MODEL
'New Mexico' 2010-2016 ED Data

The AUTOREG Procedure

Ordinary Least Squares Estimates
SSE 19944.0258 DFE 68
MSE 293.29450 Root MSE 17.12584
SBC 626.363167 AIC 617.256502
MAE 13.509841 AICC 617.853517
MAPE 3.07764963 HQC 620.881892
Durbin-Watson 0.0941 Regress R-Square 0.5290
    Total R-Square 0.5290

Parameter Estimates
Variable DF Estimate Standard
Error		 t Value Approx
Pr > |t|
Intercept 1 449.2448 4.9986 89.87 <.0001
PRESLOPE 1 -0.2651 0.1187 -2.23 0.0287
INTERVENTION 1 -20.9603 13.1522 -1.59 0.1156
POSTSLOPE 1 -4.2111 2.2109 -1.90 0.0611


H1 INTERRUPTED TIME SERIES MODEL
'New Mexico' 2010-2016 ED Data

The AUTOREG Procedure

Fit Diagnostics for TCC


H2 INTERRUPTED TIME SERIES MODEL
'New Mexico' 2010-2016 ED Data

The AUTOREG Procedure

Dependent Variable TCC
  Trend-Cycle Component


H2 INTERRUPTED TIME SERIES MODEL
'New Mexico' 2010-2016 ED Data

The AUTOREG Procedure

Ordinary Least Squares Estimates
SSE 441.032389 DFE 68
MSE 6.48577 Root MSE 2.54672
SBC 351.930371 AIC 342.823707
MAE 1.90082369 AICC 343.420722
MAPE 4.15834553 HQC 346.449097
Durbin-Watson 0.3567 Regress R-Square 0.8232
    Total R-Square 0.8232

Parameter Estimates
Variable DF Estimate Standard
Error		 t Value Approx
Pr > |t|
Intercept 1 43.7566 0.7433 58.87 <.0001
PRESLOPE 1 0.0129 0.0176 0.73 0.4685
INTERVENTION 1 11.4670 1.9558 5.86 <.0001
POSTSLOPE 1 0.8222 0.3288 2.50 0.0148


H2 INTERRUPTED TIME SERIES MODEL
'New Mexico' 2010-2016 ED Data

The AUTOREG Procedure

Fit Diagnostics for TCC


H3 INTERRUPTED TIME SERIES MODEL
'New Mexico' 2010-2016 ED Data

The AUTOREG Procedure

Dependent Variable TCC
  Trend-Cycle Component


H3 INTERRUPTED TIME SERIES MODEL
'New Mexico' 2010-2016 ED Data

The AUTOREG Procedure

Ordinary Least Squares Estimates
SSE 187.946525 DFE 68
MSE 2.76392 Root MSE 1.66250
SBC 290.517191 AIC 281.410527
MAE 1.33571013 AICC 282.007542
MAPE 3.36027311 HQC 285.035917
Durbin-Watson 0.2414 Regress R-Square 0.9335
    Total R-Square 0.9335

Parameter Estimates
Variable DF Estimate Standard
Error		 t Value Approx
Pr > |t|
Intercept 1 30.2054 0.4852 62.25 <.0001
PRESLOPE 1 0.2581 0.0115 22.41 <.0001
INTERVENTION 1 5.3305 1.2768 4.18 <.0001
POSTSLOPE 1 -0.1479 0.2146 -0.69 0.4931


H3 INTERRUPTED TIME SERIES MODEL
'New Mexico' 2010-2016 ED Data

The AUTOREG Procedure

Fit Diagnostics for TCC


The SGPlot Procedure


The SGPlot Procedure


The SGPlot Procedure